Anne Marie Waters' "For Britain Movement" looks good value at 6/4 in Ladbrokes' Lewisham East by-election match bet.

The Lewisham East by-election on 14 June is almost certainly going to return a Labour MP – Ladbrokes are offering 1/50!  However, they are offering some interesting match bets with the one between UKIP and For Britain looking very interesting indeed.  Ladbrokes are offering 6/4 against Anne Marie Waters’ For Britain Movement beating UKIP. 

I think that is a pretty good value bet for the following reasons.  The UKIP vote is collapsing as there is not much of a reason to vote for it since the 2016 referendum was won by the Brexiteers.  Anne Marie Waters received just over 9% of the vote in Lewisham East when standing for UKIP in the 2015 General Election, she will no doubt have a personal following of UKIP supporters.  Now she is standing for her own party, which was registered with the Electoral Commission only just in time for Mays’s local elections.  In those local elections the For Britain Movement achieved some respectable results considering the very short time it had to find candidates and organise campaigns.  There is no other patriotic or nationalist party standing, so Ladbrokes’ match bet will be on a straight contest between a rapidly declining UKIP and the For Britain Movement with its spirited campaigning leader.

I reckon its worth betting against UKIP!

Update 16th June. 
Just to prove I am the worst tipster in Somerset, UKIP managed to beat Anne Marie Waters’ For Britain Movement in the Lewisham East by-election on June 14th.

UKIP had 1.7% of the vote, the same as previously, whereas the For Britain Movement received only 1.2%.  However, the real loser was democracy itself as only 33.3% of the electorate bothered to vote even though they had 14 candidates to choose from!  

At first sight it was a disappointing outcome for “For Britain”, but the Party was only registered in March so it could be considered a respectable result to come 7th with 1.2% of the vote – far from humiliating!  

UKIP has been around for almost 25 years, but what does it stand for now?  Having achieved their goal of Brexit what was the point of putting up a candidate?  However, if the vote for Brexit is overturned by the Europhile British Establishment  I would not be surprised to see UKIP, along with other anti-EU parties, undergo a resurgence in popularity.